This Week in Disaster Resilience 24th April 2020

Dear colleague,

Please find links below to some aspects of disaster resilience that were in the news this week…

Recent emergencies/disaster

DR Congo – Over 30 Killed in Uvira Floods, South Kivu Province
http://floodlist.com/africa/dr-congo-uvira-floods-south-kivu-april-2020?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

Kenya – Many Missing After Heavy Rain Triggers Mudslides in West
http://floodlist.com/africa/kenya-mudslides-elgeyomarakwet-westpokot-april-2020

Daily COVID-19 death tolls falling in many western countries
https://www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest

Baseball-sized hail leaves major damage in Queensland, Australia
https://watchers.news/2020/04/20/queensland-hailstorm-april-2020/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

Explosive eruption and strong ash emissions at Etna volcano, Aviation Color Code briefly raised to Red, Italy
https://watchers.news/2020/04/19/etna-volcano-eruption-april-19-2020/

Heavy rains cause flash floods in western Kenya
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/04/heavy-rains-flash-floods-western-kenya-200419101219115.html

Angola – 11 Dead After Floods and Heavy Rain in Luanda Province
http://floodlist.com/africa/angola-floods-luanda-province-march-2017

Rwanda and Burundi – 9 Dead, Thousands Affected After Floods and Landslides
http://floodlist.com/africa/rwanda-burundi-floods-april-2020

New Caledonia – Flash Floods After 200mm of Rain in 6 Hours
http://floodlist.com/australia/new-caledonia-floods-april-2020

Severe flooding threatens millions in Afghanistan, 600 homes destroyed and 3 000 damaged
https://watchers.news/2020/04/21/severe-flooding-threatens-millions-in-afghanistan-600-homes-destroyed-and-3-000-damaged/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

Yemen – More Devastating Flash Floods in Aden After 125mm of Rain
http://floodlist.com/asia/yemen-floods-aden-april-2020

Burkina Faso – IDP Camps Flooded in Kongoussi
http://floodlist.com/africa/burkina-faso-floods-april-2020

Kenya – More Floods and Landslides Leave 8 Dead, Hundreds Homeless
http://floodlist.com/africa/kenya-floods-kericho-samburu-kisumu-april-2020

Djibouti – 8 Killed in Flash Floods
http://floodlist.com/africa/djibouti-flash-floods-april-2020

Indonesia – 4 Dead, 3 Missing After Floods in West Java and Central Kalimantan
http://floodlist.com/asia/indonesia-floods-cimahi-damanbatu-april-2020

Wildfires rip through Poland's biggest national park
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-52392231

Volcanic activity worldwide 23 Apr 2020: Klyuchevskoy volcano, Popocatépetl, Semeru, Dukono
https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/volcano-activity/news/102411/Volcanic-activity-worldwide-23-Apr-2020-Klyuchevskoy-volcano-Popocatepetl-Semeru-Dukono-Revent.html

Extreme Weather and Climate Change

Sea-level rise exponentially increases coastal flood frequency
http://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71346

Key investments can build resilience to pandemics and climate change
http://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71323

Entire wild systems at risk from rising global heat
http://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71297

'Kick them into action': Fire group takes EPA to court over climate
https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/kick-them-into-action-fire-group-takes-epa-to-court-over-climate-20200418-p54kzl.html

The northern-hemisphere winter of 2019-20 was the warmest ever on land
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/03/28/the-northern-hemisphere-winter-of-2019-20-was-the-warmest-ever-on-land

State of the climate: First quarter of 2020 is second warmest on record
https://www.carbonbrief.org/state-of-the-climate-first-quarter-of-2020-is-second-warmest-on-record

Will climate change end waterfront living? Not if you can afford it
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/apr/20/climate-change-waterfront-living-wealthy-boston?CMP=share_btn_tw

Rising Seas Could Make U.S. Coastal Flooding a Daily Peril by 2100
http://floodlist.com/america/usa/rising-seas-could-make-u-s-coastal-flooding-a-daily-peril-by-2100?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

Climate explained: how white roofs help to reflect the sun’s heat
http://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71305

Australia’s inland rivers are the pulse of the outback. By 2070, they’ll be unrecognisable
https://theconversation.com/australias-inland-rivers-are-the-pulse-of-the-outback-by-2070-theyll-be-unrecognisable-136492?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=bylinetwitterbutton

Non-linear interaction modulates global extreme sea levels, coastal flood exposure, and impacts
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-15752-5

Will Florida be lost forever to the climate crisis?
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/apr/21/florida-climate-crisis-sea-level-habitat-loss?CMP=share_btn_tw

Predicting the Future of Greenland’s Melting Ice Sheet
https://eos.org/research-spotlights/predicting-the-future-of-greenlands-melting-ice-sheet

Arctic will see ice-free summers by 2050
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/04/22/global-warming-summer-arctic-sea-ice-gone-2050/2999426001/

Coronavirus crisis underscores small islands’ climate vulnerability
https://www.climatechangenews.com/2020/04/17/coronavirus-crisis-underscores-small-islands-climate-vulnerability/

Disaster risk reduction

UVA researchers found that regular exercise may reduce the risk of acute respiratory distress syndrome, a major cause of death in patients with the COVID-19 virus
https://news.virginia.edu/content/exercise-may-protect-against-deadly-covid-19-complication-research-suggests

We've never made a successful vaccine for a coronavirus before. This is why it's so difficult
https://www.abc.net.au/news/health/2020-04-17/coronavirus-vaccine-ian-frazer/12146616

Coronavirus re-emergence will be a threat until 2024, Harvard study finds
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3080156/coronavirus-re-emergence-will-be-threat-until-2024-harvard-study

How different surrounding environments influence the characteristics of flash flood‐mortality: The case of the 2017 extreme flood in Mandra, Greece
http://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71355

Policy recommendations for an integrated approach to flood management
http://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71351

Predicting possible outcomes to coronavirus and other pandemics with models and simulations
http://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71326

How to generate relational information to inform a systemic perspective on risk?
http://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71318

Implementing the Sendai Framework in Africa: progress against the targets (2015–2018) International Journal of Disaster Risk Science (IJDRS), 2020
http://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71331

Building resilience in the wake of a disaster
https://ecos.csiro.au/building-resilience-in-the-wake-of-a-disaster/

COVID-19: What’s wrong with the models?
https://peterattiamd.com/covid-19-whats-wrong-with-the-models/

Covid-19 has nothing on what’s coming
https://www.newsroom.co.nz/ideasroom/2020/04/20/1133127/covid-19-has-nothing-on-whats-coming

Large earthquakes follow 'Devil's Staircase' mathematical pattern
https://watchers.news/2020/04/19/large-earthquakes-follow-devil-s-staircase-mathematical-pattern/

Research shows mangrove conservation can pay for itself in flood protection
https://phys.org/news/2020-03-mangrove.html

To Avoid the Next Disaster, “This Mistake Must Not Reoccur”
https://www.nrdc.org/experts/anna-weber/avoid-next-disaster-mistake-must-not-reoccur

Coronavirus’s ability to mutate has been vastly underestimated, and mutations affect deadliness of strains, Chinese study finds
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3080771/coronavirus-mutations-affect-deadliness-strains-chinese-study

Milan announces ambitious scheme to reduce car use after lockdown
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/21/milan-seeks-to-prevent-post-crisis-return-of-traffic-pollution?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Tweet

Remembering the forgotten disaster: One year after Cyclones Idai and Kenneth
https://floodresilience.net/blogs/remembering-the-forgotten-disaster-one-year-after-cyclones-idai-and-kenneth

The pandemic isn’t a Black Swan
https://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/the-pandemic-isnt-a-black-swan-but-a-portent-of-a-more-fragile-global-system

Analyzing the Role of Resource Factors in Citizens’ Intention to Pay for and Participate in Disaster Management
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/340835318_Analyzing_the_Role_of_Resource_Factors_in_Citizens'_Intention_to_Pay_for_and_Participate_in_Disaster_Management

New Earthquake Math Predicts How Destructive They’ll Be
https://www.quantamagazine.org/new-earthquake-math-predicts-how-destructive-theyll-be-20200421/

Slower-moving hurricanes will cause more devastation as world warms
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2241444-slower-moving-hurricanes-will-cause-more-devastation-as-world-warms/

How can big cities adapt to risks of floods?
https://www.euronews.com/2020/04/06/how-can-big-cities-adapt-to-risks-of-floods

America’s heartland is expected to flood again — but this time amid coronavirus
https://grist.org/climate/americas-heartland-is-expected-to-flood-again-but-this-time-amid-coronavirus/

Bridging forecast verification and humanitarian decisions: A valuation approach for setting up action-oriented early warnings
https://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71348

Common ground between the Paris Agreement and the Sendai Framework Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), 2020
https://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71371

Implementing the Sendai Framework in Africa: progress against the targets (2015–2018) International Journal of Disaster Risk Science (IJDRS), 2020
https://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71331

Models and frameworks for assessing the value of disaster research
https://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71375

Policy recommendations for an integrated approach to flood management
https://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71351

Sendai five years on: Reflections on the role of international law in the creation and reduction of disaster risk
https://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71380

A methodology to estimate flow duration curves at partially ungauged basins
https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/24/2043/2020/

Webinar Aqueduct Floods: the future of flooding; exploring risks and opportunities
https://www.deltares.nl/en/events/launch-aqueduct-floods-webinar-future-flooding-exploring-risks-opportunities/

Australia: Actuaries back pre-disaster funding
https://www.asiainsurancereview.com/News/View-NewsLetter-Article/id/61287/Type/eDaily/Australia-Actuaries-back-pre-disaster-funding

Flooding will affect double the number of people worldwide by 2030
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/apr/23/flooding-double-number-people-worldwide-2030

New Data Shows Millions of People, Trillions in Property at Risk from Flooding — But Infrastructure Investments Now Can Significantly Lower Flood Risk
https://www.wri.org/news/2020/04/release-new-data-shows-millions-people-trillions-property-risk-flooding-infrastructure

Aqueduct Flood Global Data
https://www.wri.org/applications/aqueduct/floods/ 

Emergency management

New MIT machine learning model shows relaxing quarantine rules will spike COVID-19 cases
https://techcrunch.com/2020/04/16/new-mit-machine-learning-model-shows-relaxing-quarantine-rules-will-spike-covid-19-cases/?guccounter=1

It was the saltshaker: How Germany meticulously traced its coronavirus outbreak
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/04/it-was-the-saltshaker-how-germany-meticulously-traced-its-coronavirus-outbreak/

Two Asian coronavirus success stories face new wave of infections
https://www.axios.com/japan-singapore-coronavirus-infections-a617efde-3e04-4baf-9a65-377f10454acf.html

Healing and rebuilding from the 2019-20 bushfires
https://www.coag.gov.au/meeting-outcomes/coag-meeting-communique-13-march-2020

Coronavirus Will Require Changes in Schools When They Reopen
https://www.rand.org/blog/2020/04/coronavirus-will-require-changes-in-schools-when-they.html to Protect Students

NSW COVID-19 Cases and Community Profile by The University of Sydney
https://covid19-data.sydney.edu.au/

Antibody tests suggest that coronavirus infections vastly exceed official counts
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01095-0

Imagine Hurricane Katrina during a pandemic. The US needs to prepare for that — now
https://www.vox.com/2020/4/21/21222687/coronavirus-covid-19-hurricane-planning-preparedness-emergency-managers-disaster

Laying in Wait: Responding to the Pandemic Amidst Impending Disasters
https://floodresilience.net/blogs/laying-in-wait-responding-to-the-pandemic-amidst-impending-disasters

Doctors warn coronavirus causing sudden strokes in some younger patients
https://thehill.com/homenews/news/494140-doctors-warn-coronavirus-causing-sudden-strokes-in-younger-patients

UK will need social distancing until at least end of year, says Whitty
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/22/uk-will-need-social-distancing-until-at-least-end-of-year-says-whitty?CMP=share_btn_tw

Rules to prevent the spread of Covid-19 complicate standard responses to storms, floods, and heat waves
https://www.circleofblue.org/2020/world/in-pandemic-new-thinking-on-responding-to-weather-disasters/

Tackling malaria, COVID-19 and Ebola in Burundi
https://medium.com/@UNDP/when-health-crises-collide-803ffad1f487

Disaster education, communications and engagement

Affected community members from Hobart, Kingborough, Glenorchy, and Derwent Valley municipalities were invited to share their experience of the flood nearly twelve months later
https://storiesofresilience.hobartcity.com.au/

Why is it hard to stop COVID-19 misinformation on social media?
http://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71275

How the internet has changed during lockdowns
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/04/18/how-the-internet-has-changed-during-lockdowns

The importance of disaster risk communication in the time of COVID-19
https://floodresilience.net/blogs/the-importance-of-disaster-risk-communication-in-the-time-of-covid-19

Right-Wing Responsible For Pushing Coronavirus Disinformation On Twitter Worldwide, New Report Says
https://www.forbes.com/sites/seanlawson/2020/04/21/right-wing-responsible-for-pushing-coronavirus-disinformation-on-twitter-worldwide-new-report-says/#5ca463e0597f

K-12 Flood Education Resources
https://www.floodsciencecenter.org/products/k-12-flood-education/

Dominica: Strengthening early warning system - increasing public awareness on natural hazards
http://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71398

Make your own paper model of a volcano
https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/1991/0115a/report.pdf

An Introduction to the Rock-Forming Minerals
https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/books/book/952/An-Introduction-to-the-Rock-Forming-Minerals

Disaster psychology

Mental health in the age of coronavirus
https://www.redcross.org.au/stories/covid-19

UNICEF’s latest information to help support you and your family during the coronavirus pandemic
https://www.unicef.org.au/our-work/unicef-in-emergencies/coronavirus-covid-19/parents-carers-and-teachers

The difference between “physical” and “social” distancing
https://www.martlet.ca/the-difference-between-physical-and-social-distancing/

Expectations, disappointments, and individual responses: Imbalances in multilevel flood risk governance revealed by public survey
https://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71399

Sociology and disasters

Monsoon weather and early childhood health in India
http://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71344

Disabled people left off coronavirus vulnerable list go without food
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2020/apr/19/disabled-people-left-off-coronavirus-vulnerable-list-go-without-food?CMP=share_btn_tw

World Health envoy warns of unrest in poor nations without action to combat virus
https://news.trust.org/item/20200421191552-vwrds/

Confronting chronic shocks: social resilience in Rio de Janeiro's poor neighbourhood
https://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71341

Five years later: Assessing the implementation of the four priorities of the Sendai Framework for inclusion of people with disabilities
https://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71381

“What is a sociologist doing here?” An unconventional people-centered approach to improve warning implementation in the Sendai Framework for disaster risk reduction
https://www.preventionweb.net/english/email/url.php?eid=71361

 

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 Neil Dufty

Principal, Molino Stewart Pty Ltd

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